Burkina Faso Likely To Experience A Static Role In Extra-Government Non-State Actor Activity Within The Next Five Years

Executive Summary:
Due to Burkina Faso’s long history of internal and external instability along with its isolated geographical location, it is likely that extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs) play a significant but minimal role within Burkina Faso (represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). This score demonstrates that the government maintains the majority of control, but some NSAs may be able to develop a significant influential role. However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role of NSAs will remain static and that unlawful NSAs will continue to have considerably more influence than lawful NSAs. This is largely due to foreign rebel groups maintaining influence and presence within Burkina Faso.

Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 8

Discussion:

Overall Scores	Democracy Var.	Doing Bus. Var.	Corruption Var.
Failed States Var.	Geo Dis- NGOs	Geo Dis- Bus.	Geo Dis- Ter Grps.